Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.295234 4.809569 5.369297 6.024999 6.773754 7.604038 8.597112
2025-02-09 3.585165 4.278927 5.090907 6.116687 7.385373 8.912499 10.904132
2025-02-16 3.126493 3.912903 4.884960 6.185775 7.897444 10.095735 13.169703
2025-02-23 2.798581 3.638717 4.724069 6.246734 8.356152 11.217352 15.464566
2025-03-02 2.465507 3.306255 4.432166 6.074353 8.448950 11.821498 17.089868
2025-03-09 2.231013 3.074564 4.240853 6.002207 8.649731 12.571345 18.993525
2025-03-16 2.034011 2.871703 4.063254 5.919883 8.810241 13.259239 20.870024
2025-03-23 1.952978 2.824963 4.101255 6.153976 9.466334 14.771162 24.268854
2025-03-30 1.820745 2.688628 3.990330 6.141860 9.723457 15.662130 26.731901
2025-04-06 1.695077 2.550499 3.862435 6.085939 9.895500 16.419960 29.051891
2025-04-13 1.522954 2.326194 3.580332 5.749323 9.553393 16.243120 29.606527
2025-04-20 1.443173 2.241997 3.514724 5.767091 9.824445 17.180281 32.417695
2025-04-27 1.398938 2.213910 3.541499 5.951369 10.423320 18.811973 36.916657
2025-05-04 1.343038 2.162214 3.524435 6.056541 10.888478 20.250152 41.264435
2025-05-11 1.286202 2.104288 3.491330 6.128102 11.295439 21.622168 45.701556
2025-05-18 1.232569 2.047584 3.455166 6.189125 11.686024 23.006810 50.406005
2025-05-25 1.148644 1.931847 3.304856 6.018704 11.590756 23.353955 52.717896
2025-06-01 1.086428 1.850407 3.210396 5.947344 11.690055 24.129999 56.206930
2025-06-08 1.027912 1.771762 3.115295 5.865885 11.758275 24.843011 59.661028
2025-06-15 1.014657 1.774946 3.173153 6.097536 12.527414 27.259690 68.063776
2025-06-22 0.971640 1.719801 3.115641 6.085547 12.753957 28.425763 73.278905
2025-06-29 0.926562 1.657931 3.040746 6.030211 12.875402 29.351187 77.992425
2025-07-06 0.853087 1.537615 2.843494 5.697099 12.318356 28.515531 77.359846